Wednesday, April 29, 2009

HEM Adjusted Luck Stats

I got the newest version of HEM going and it's showing that I'm running about $3k below expectation this month and I should have a $100 hourly, which I thought is a little low, but obviously still nice. I was thinking $4/game on average initially, but having to load some 6.50s and lots of 12s will obviously bring it down. The main reason for being so below expectation is that I am pretty much break even over 1500 games at the $12 level lol and not doing particularly well in 60s. Last month it looks like I ran about $4500 below expectation too lol.

Some of the stats in HEM seem kinda off, like it's missing some games, but the above figures seem somewhat accurate. Kinda funny that I'm like 8kish below expectation over the last 7k games. At least I am not crazy in thinking that I've been running badly lately.

Looking at everything closer, HEM is missing about 10k of my games, lots of 12/180s missed (like 25k profit total), so the overall numbers are wrong and definitely it's off for March, but April seems right. IDK b/c I imported tourny summaries and save all my hands.

Of the roughly 15k games I do have, HEM shows my adjusted luck +20k. Ridiculous if it's right (and I'd like to believe that it is).

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